Aslan Karatsev vs Stefano Travaglia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who performs better on their second serve recently? Travaglia has edged out Karatsev slightly, winning 45.31% of second serve points compared to Karatsev's 45.26%.
• In terms of opponent's second serve returns, Karatsev leads, having won 48.77% of points, while Travaglia has secured 48.05%.
• Analyzing first serve returns, Travaglia has the upper hand with 28.54% success, whereas Karatsev is at 25.52%.
• Travaglia shows resilience under pressure, saving 53.33% of breakpoints, compared to Karatsev's 49.7%.
• Over the past year, Travaglia has won 54.9% of his matches, slightly above Karatsev's 52% win rate.
• Travaglia's preferred surface is Clay, boasting a career win percentage of 64%, while Karatsev excels on Hard courts with a 63% win rate.
• On Grass, both players struggle, with Travaglia at 47% and Karatsev at a low 29% win rate.
• In the past year, Travaglia has been more active in the lower-tier Challengers/ITF events, achieving a win percentage of 57.14%. Karatsev has a higher success rate of 64.29% in similar tournaments.
• Karatsev has faced more challenging opponents, with an average ranking of 257.6, in contrast to Travaglia's opponents averaging a rank of 295.8.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Travaglia has a better record, winning 50% of such sets compared to Karatsev's 38%.
• Who has the edge when converting breakpoints? Travaglia edges out by converting 38.24%, while Karatsev converts at a rate of 34.26%.

Editorial Prediction (May 6, 2025, UTC):

As we look forward to this upcoming matchup, both Travaglia and Karatsev present interesting dynamics, grounded in recent performances and past records. Travaglia demonstrates a marginal advantage on second serve performance and shows superior resilience when faced with breakpoints.

Karatsev's strength is evident in returning the opponent’s second serve, showing better performance in this area. On the flip side, Travaglia holds the advantage on first serve returns. The match might heavily depend on who can maintain composure during key moments, as demonstrated in Travaglia's higher breakpoint conversion and better deciding set performance stats.

Taking into account the varied strengths and their capacity to convert pressure into advantageous outcomes, Travaglia appears slightly more favored to win, especially if the match becomes tight. However, the competition level of previous opponents suggests Karatsev might have been more rigorously tested, making this a close call. Ultimately, Travaglia's edge in critical statistical areas could steer the outcome in his favor.